Agentic Forecasting using Sequential Bayesian Updating of Linguistic Beliefs

By: Kevin Murphy

Published: 2026-04-21

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Abstract

This research proposes a novel approach to agentic forecasting, leveraging sequential Bayesian updating of linguistic beliefs. The method enhances predictive accuracy and adaptability by allowing AI agents to continuously refine their forecasts based on new information, making it highly valuable for dynamic real-world prediction tasks across various domains.

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